Projections Overview¶
Project future emissions, assess future climate risks, and measure temperature alignment for equity assets.
What are Projections?¶
Projections allow you estimate emissions into the future, measure climate risk, and temperature alignment based on these future emissions. The projections end points used in combination with our baseline analysis methods help you understand how an equities risk will evolve over time.
Baseline Analysis vs. Projections¶
| Baseline Analysis | Projections |
|---|---|
| Estimate current/historical emissions | Forecast future emissions trajectories |
| Assess climate risk based on current emissions | Model how risks evolve with changing emission profiles |
| Calculate today's temperature alignment | Determine temperature alignment based on projected emissions |
| Answers: "Where are we now?" | Answers: "Where are we heading?" |
Available Projection Endpoints¶
Emissions Projections - Forecast future emissions - Use historical trends (Monte Carlo) or reduction targets (linear glide path) - Essential for understanding baseline trajectory vs. target pathways - Equity assets only
Climate Risk Projections - Model future climate risks - Assess transition and physical risks under IPCC/NGFS scenarios - Compare current vs. future risk exposure - Evaluate risk mitigation effectiveness
Temperature Alignment Projections - Project temperature pathways - Calculate how future emissions align with climate goals (1.5°C, 2°C) - Track temperature alignment improvement over time - Assess feasibility of climate commitments
Typical Workflow¶
Projections work seamlessly with Baseline Analysis endpoints:
-
Start with Baseline Analysis: Use Emissions Estimation to establish baseline emissions for assets with or without reported data
-
Generate Future Emissions: Use Emissions Projections to forecast emission trajectories
-
Assess Future Impact: Feed projected emissions into:
- Climate Risk Projections - Understand how risk exposure changes
- Temperature Alignment Projections - Track alignment improvement
This approach lets you perform both current and future state analysis.
Common Data Requirements¶
All projection endpoints use familiar data structures from other Emmi API endpoints:
entity_info: Standard entity identification (same across all endpoints)data: Historical emissions and financials (see Data Models)- Projection-specific fields: Each endpoint adds fields for its projection type (targets, scenarios, projection years, etc.)
Note: If you have data working with Baseline Analysis endpoints, it will work with Projections - you just add the projection-specific parameters.